Fitzroy River (WA)

Surface Water & Rainfall Dynamics Report

Calendar recurrence of annual peak and trough timing was established (peak Kuiper p = 0.001; trough Kuiper p = 0.001; alpha = 0.05). Dynamic hydrological-year boundaries are detected per year.
Seasonal
hydrological regime
assessed seasonal strength
Peak and trough recur
seasonality evidence
Kuiper p-values: peak=0.001; trough=0.001. Both reject 12-month uniformity (alpha = 0.05).
Per-Year Detection
analytical route
how hydro-year boundaries were derived
0.0% zero-water months
observability
0 whole-zero years; 11/21 years support both peak and trough timing
21
hydrological years
Jan 2005 to Dec 2025; recurrence alpha=0.05; 19 detectable years, 19 timing-eligible years, 21 qualifying years.
12.0
mean cycle length
months per hydro-year
February
Typical peak month
maximum of mean monthly extent
November
Typical trough month
minimum of mean monthly extent
20
well-observed years
out of 21 total years; data/window quality (selection_support >= 0.8)
4
point-identifiable boundary years
out of 21 total years; timing resolved to an exact date, not an interval or unresolved extremum
18
wet events
episodes above the record's 75th percentile
8 mo
longest low-extent spell
longest continuous run below baseline
3
years without a wet event
out of 21 usable years
6.2%
average invalid/cloud cover
mean across 252 months of observations

Monthly Surface Water Extent

Seasonal Context
Wet Event Characterisation

A wet event begins once extent climbs above 0.1% (baseline 0.1% plus a margin sized to this record's own month-to-month noise) and continues until it falls back below 0.1% -- hysteresis, so a wobbling recession is not counted as several separate floods. Events shorter than 1 month(s) are dropped; episodes closer than 1 month(s) apart are merged into one.

Low-Extent Spells

A low-extent spell is a run of at least 2 consecutive months below 0.1% (baseline 0.1% minus a margin sized to the same noise scale), counted independently of wet events -- a catchment that never floods can still have long low-extent spells. About 32.9% of this record's months sit below that line, so a spell describes a sustained below-typical period, not an absence of water.

Yearly Cycle Details

Expand individual hydrological years to view monthly breakdowns and detailed statistics.

▶HY 2025Dec 2024 – Nov 2025
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.23%LOW CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthJanuary 2025 – March 20250.27% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20250.08% extent
End Dry MonthOctober 2025 – November 20250.03% extent

Low confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2024Rising0.07%4.65%
Jan 2025Rising0.26%3.77%Wet Interval
Feb 2025Rising0.27%6.24%Wet Peak (interval)
Mar 2025Receding0.25%2.82%Wet Interval
Apr 2025Receding0.23%2.82%
May 2025Receding0.12%2.82%
Jun 2025Receding0.10%2.82%
Jul 2025Receding0.08%2.83%Mid Dry
Aug 2025Receding0.06%2.82%
Sep 2025Receding0.05%2.82%
Oct 2025Receding0.04%2.82%Dry Interval
Nov 2025Receding0.03%3.13%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2024Feb 2024 – Nov 2024
Cycle: 10.0 mosAmplitude: 0.41%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20240.44% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20240.07% extent
End Dry MonthAugust 2024 – November 20240.04% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Feb 2024Rising0.20%2.82%
Mar 2024Rising0.44%2.95%Wet Peak
Apr 2024Receding0.17%2.81%
May 2024Receding0.11%2.82%
Jun 2024Receding0.09%2.82%
Jul 2024Receding0.07%2.82%Mid Dry
Aug 2024Receding0.05%2.82%Dry Interval
Sep 2024Receding0.04%2.82%Dry Interval
Oct 2024Receding0.04%2.81%Dry Interval
Nov 2024Receding0.04%5.82%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2023Dec 2022 – Jan 2024
Cycle: 14.0 mosAmplitude: 1.32%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthJanuary 20231.36% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20230.14% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2023 – January 20240.04% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2022Rising0.29%2.83%
Jan 2023Rising1.36%7.07%Wet Peak
Feb 2023Receding0.89%3.01%
Mar 2023Receding0.42%2.82%
Apr 2023Receding0.32%3.64%
May 2023Receding0.16%2.83%
Jun 2023Receding0.13%2.92%
Jul 2023Receding0.14%2.82%Mid Dry
Aug 2023Receding0.10%2.82%
Sep 2023Receding0.06%2.82%Dry Interval
Oct 2023Receding0.05%2.82%Dry Interval
Nov 2023Receding0.04%3.44%Dry Interval
Dec 2023Receding0.04%2.86%Dry Interval
Jan 2024Receding0.04%5.46%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2022Nov 2021 – Nov 2022
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.51%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20220.55% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20220.06% extent
End Dry MonthJuly 2022 – November 20220.05% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2021Rising0.05%2.77%
Dec 2021Rising0.05%3.13%
Jan 2022Rising0.07%4.33%
Feb 2022Rising0.55%2.82%Wet Peak
Mar 2022Receding0.27%8.98%
Apr 2022Receding0.16%2.82%
May 2022Receding0.09%2.82%
Jun 2022Receding0.08%2.82%
Jul 2022Receding0.06%2.86%Mid Dry
Aug 2022Receding0.06%2.82%Dry Interval
Sep 2022Receding0.05%2.82%Dry Interval
Oct 2022Receding0.05%2.82%Dry Interval
Nov 2022Receding0.05%2.82%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2021Nov 2020 – Oct 2021
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.97%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20211.02% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20210.11% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2021 – October 20210.05% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2020Rising0.05%12.04%
Dec 2020Rising0.40%13.92%
Jan 2021Rising0.25%3.46%
Feb 2021Rising0.99%9.54%
Mar 2021Rising1.02%4.03%Wet Peak
Apr 2021Receding0.25%2.79%
May 2021Receding0.15%2.77%
Jun 2021Receding0.11%2.79%Mid Dry
Jul 2021Receding0.10%2.78%
Aug 2021Receding0.08%2.78%
Sep 2021Receding0.06%2.78%Dry Interval
Oct 2021Receding0.05%2.77%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2020Jan 2020 – Oct 2020
Cycle: 10.0 mosAmplitude: 0.35%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20200.38% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20200.10% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2020 – October 20200.03% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Jan 2020Rising0.16%7.21%
Feb 2020Rising0.19%5.06%
Mar 2020Rising0.38%2.80%Wet Peak
Apr 2020Receding0.17%2.78%
May 2020Receding0.11%2.79%
Jun 2020Receding0.10%2.80%Mid Dry
Jul 2020Receding0.07%2.79%
Aug 2020Receding0.06%2.78%
Sep 2020Receding0.05%2.77%Dry Interval
Oct 2020Receding0.03%2.90%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2019Jan 2019 – Dec 2019
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.06%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20190.09% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20190.04% extent
End Dry MonthNovember 2019 – December 20190.03% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Jan 2019Rising0.07%3.31%
Feb 2019Rising0.09%4.16%Wet Peak
Mar 2019Receding0.07%3.09%
Apr 2019Receding0.06%3.07%
May 2019Receding0.05%2.78%
Jun 2019Receding0.05%2.81%
Jul 2019Receding0.04%2.80%Mid Dry
Aug 2019Receding0.04%2.80%
Sep 2019Receding0.04%2.87%
Oct 2019Receding0.04%2.78%
Nov 2019Receding0.03%2.78%Dry Interval
Dec 2019Receding0.03%3.29%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2018Dec 2017 – Dec 2018
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.70%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20180.73% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20180.08% extent
End Dry MonthNovember 2018 – December 20180.04% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2017Rising0.09%3.44%
Jan 2018Rising0.29%16.76%
Feb 2018Rising0.73%7.55%Wet Peak
Mar 2018Receding0.22%2.79%
Apr 2018Receding0.16%2.78%
May 2018Receding0.11%2.78%
Jun 2018Receding0.09%2.78%
Jul 2018Receding0.08%2.78%Mid Dry
Aug 2018Receding0.06%2.78%
Sep 2018Receding0.05%2.78%
Oct 2018Receding0.04%2.79%
Nov 2018Receding0.04%2.90%Dry Interval
Dec 2018Receding0.04%2.79%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2017Dec 2016 – Nov 2017
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 2.33%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20172.37% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20170.11% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2017 – November 20170.04% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2016Rising0.06%11.73%
Jan 2017Rising1.36%9.24%
Feb 2017Rising2.37%15.26%Wet Peak
Mar 2017Receding0.60%4.82%
Apr 2017Receding0.27%2.97%
May 2017Receding0.18%2.78%
Jun 2017Receding0.15%3.34%
Jul 2017Receding0.11%2.80%Mid Dry
Aug 2017Receding0.09%2.78%
Sep 2017Receding0.07%2.78%Dry Interval
Oct 2017Receding0.05%2.78%Dry Interval
Nov 2017Receding0.04%2.87%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2016Dec 2015 – Nov 2016
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.10%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 2016 – March 20160.13% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20160.05% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2016 – November 20160.03% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2015Rising0.04%4.51%
Jan 2016Rising0.08%3.08%
Feb 2016Rising0.13%4.87%Wet Peak (interval)
Mar 2016Receding0.12%2.86%Wet Interval
Apr 2016Receding0.07%2.79%
May 2016Receding0.09%2.80%
Jun 2016Receding0.06%2.80%
Jul 2016Receding0.05%2.79%Mid Dry
Aug 2016Receding0.05%2.79%
Sep 2016Receding0.04%2.78%Dry Interval
Oct 2016Receding0.03%2.98%Dry Interval
Nov 2016Receding0.03%2.79%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2015Dec 2014 – Nov 2015
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.28%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthJanuary 20150.32% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20150.07% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2015 – November 20150.03% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2014Rising0.09%6.39%
Jan 2015Rising0.32%30.11%Wet Peak
Feb 2015Receding0.21%3.07%
Mar 2015Receding0.16%3.27%
Apr 2015Receding0.10%3.22%
May 2015Receding0.08%2.85%
Jun 2015Receding0.07%2.79%Mid Dry
Jul 2015Receding0.05%2.78%
Aug 2015Receding0.05%2.78%
Sep 2015Receding0.04%2.78%Dry Interval
Oct 2015Receding0.03%2.78%Dry Interval
Nov 2015Receding0.03%2.80%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2014Dec 2013 – Nov 2014
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.79%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20140.82% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20140.07% extent
End Dry MonthNovember 20140.03% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2013Rising0.10%42.56%
Jan 2014Rising0.13%9.09%
Feb 2014Rising0.82%10.04%Wet Peak
Mar 2014Receding0.19%4.25%
Apr 2014Receding0.11%2.80%
May 2014Receding0.09%3.05%
Jun 2014Receding0.07%2.80%
Jul 2014Receding0.07%2.79%Mid Dry
Aug 2014Receding0.06%2.78%
Sep 2014Receding0.04%2.78%
Oct 2014Receding0.04%2.78%
Nov 2014Receding0.03%3.67%Dry End
▶HY 2013Nov 2012 – Nov 2013
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.16%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20130.19% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20130.05% extent
End Dry MonthAugust 2013 – November 20130.03% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2012Rising0.03%42.42%
Dec 2012Rising0.02%21.05%
Jan 2013Rising0.03%33.42%
Feb 2013Rising0.11%13.45%
Mar 2013Rising0.19%8.45%Wet Peak
Apr 2013Receding0.08%3.31%
May 2013Receding0.08%4.04%
Jun 2013Receding0.08%4.28%
Jul 2013Receding0.05%2.78%Mid Dry
Aug 2013Receding0.04%2.79%Dry Interval
Sep 2013Receding0.04%2.79%Dry Interval
Oct 2013Receding0.03%2.86%Dry Interval
Nov 2013Receding0.03%2.79%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2012Oct 2011 – Oct 2012
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.27%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20120.30% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20120.08% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2012 – October 20120.03% extent

Medium confidence: Boundary is provisional and was not confirmed.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Oct 2011Rising0.07%15.79%
Nov 2011Rising0.07%9.37%
Dec 2011Rising0.09%16.86%
Jan 2012Rising0.21%30.30%
Feb 2012Rising0.13%12.38%
Mar 2012Rising0.30%22.07%Wet Peak
Apr 2012Receding0.18%7.91%
May 2012Receding0.09%11.54%
Jun 2012Receding0.08%9.27%Mid Dry
Jul 2012Receding0.07%8.57%
Aug 2012Receding0.06%5.47%
Sep 2012Receding0.04%4.65%Dry Interval
Oct 2012Receding0.03%6.30%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2011Jan 2011 – Sep 2011
Cycle: 9.0 mosAmplitude: 3.68%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20113.73% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20110.13% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 20110.05% extent

Medium confidence: The peak month was far more obscured than that month usually is, so the cycle's peak could not be trusted.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Jan 2011Rising0.25%6.90%
Feb 2011Rising0.56%28.18%
Mar 2011Rising3.73%63.36%Wet Peak
Apr 2011Receding0.41%4.52%
May 2011Receding0.20%4.74%
Jun 2011Receding0.13%2.79%Mid Dry
Jul 2011Receding0.12%10.58%
Aug 2011Receding0.10%3.40%
Sep 2011Receding0.05%3.97%Dry End
▶HY 2010Dec 2009 – Dec 2010
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.12%LOW CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthJanuary 20100.16% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20100.07% extent
End Dry MonthNovember 2010 – December 20100.05% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2009Rising0.05%5.37%
Jan 2010Rising0.16%9.55%Wet Peak
Feb 2010Receding0.12%2.80%
Mar 2010Receding0.10%9.68%
Apr 2010Receding0.08%2.96%
May 2010Receding0.07%9.34%
Jun 2010Receding0.05%4.76%
Jul 2010Receding0.07%14.84%Mid Dry
Aug 2010Receding0.05%11.72%
Sep 2010Receding0.04%34.02%
Oct 2010Receding0.12%30.78%
Nov 2010Receding0.05%2.98%Dry Interval
Dec 2010Receding0.05%2.87%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2009Dec 2008 – Nov 2009
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 1.14%HIGH CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20091.17% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20090.06% extent
End Dry MonthSeptember 2009 – November 20090.03% extent
MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Dec 2008Rising0.04%4.02%
Jan 2009Rising0.20%4.67%
Feb 2009Rising1.17%7.19%Wet Peak
Mar 2009Receding0.26%2.78%
Apr 2009Receding0.15%2.78%
May 2009Receding0.10%2.86%
Jun 2009Receding0.05%3.67%
Jul 2009Receding0.06%2.86%Mid Dry
Aug 2009Receding0.06%2.78%
Sep 2009Receding0.04%2.78%Dry Interval
Oct 2009Receding0.04%2.80%Dry Interval
Nov 2009Receding0.03%2.78%Dry End (interval)
▶HY 2008Nov 2007 – Nov 2008
Cycle: 13.0 mosAmplitude: 0.25%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthFebruary 20080.28% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJuly 20080.06% extent
End Dry MonthAugust 2008 – November 20080.02% extent

Medium confidence: The peak month was far more obscured than that month usually is, so the cycle's peak could not be trusted.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2007Rising0.03%6.26%
Dec 2007Rising0.08%20.54%
Jan 2008Rising0.09%9.17%
Feb 2008Rising0.28%29.09%Wet Peak
Mar 2008Receding0.20%2.96%
Apr 2008Receding0.14%2.77%
May 2008Receding0.08%2.77%
Jun 2008Receding0.10%8.84%
Jul 2008Receding0.06%10.11%Mid Dry
Aug 2008Receding0.04%2.78%Dry Interval
Sep 2008Receding0.04%2.83%Dry Interval
Oct 2008Receding0.03%2.79%Dry Interval
Nov 2008Receding0.02%2.81%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2007Nov 2006 – Oct 2007
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.26%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20070.29% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20070.07% extent
End Dry MonthJuly 2007 – October 20070.03% extent

Medium confidence: The peak month was far more obscured than that month usually is, so the cycle's peak could not be trusted.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2006Rising0.03%4.42%
Dec 2006Rising0.03%3.09%
Jan 2007Rising0.13%10.31%
Feb 2007Rising0.10%2.86%
Mar 2007Rising0.29%34.49%Wet Peak
Apr 2007Receding0.24%2.77%
May 2007Receding0.09%2.77%
Jun 2007Receding0.07%2.84%Mid Dry
Jul 2007Receding0.06%2.78%Dry Interval
Aug 2007Receding0.05%2.77%Dry Interval
Sep 2007Receding0.04%2.79%Dry Interval
Oct 2007Receding0.03%4.07%Dry End (broad)
▶HY 2006Nov 2005 – Oct 2006
Cycle: 12.0 mosAmplitude: 0.68%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthJanuary 20060.70% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20060.07% extent
End Dry MonthOctober 20060.02% extent

Medium confidence: The peak month was far more obscured than that month usually is, so the cycle's peak could not be trusted.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Nov 2005Rising0.03%2.82%
Dec 2005Rising0.08%29.12%
Jan 2006Rising0.70%58.42%Wet Peak
Feb 2006Receding0.28%5.48%
Mar 2006Receding0.61%8.97%
Apr 2006Receding0.13%2.80%
May 2006Receding0.09%2.82%
Jun 2006Receding0.07%2.80%Mid Dry
Jul 2006Receding0.06%2.79%
Aug 2006Receding0.05%2.78%
Sep 2006Receding0.03%2.78%
Oct 2006Receding0.02%2.80%Dry End
▶HY 2005Jan 2005 – Oct 2005
Cycle: 10.0 mosAmplitude: 0.09%MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Peak Wet MonthMarch 20050.12% extent
Mid-Dry TargetJune 20050.04% extent
End Dry MonthOctober 20050.02% extent

Medium confidence: This year's start is inferred from the record's first observed month, not a detected trough — there is no data before it to confirm where the previous dry season ended.

MonthPhaseWater ExtentInvalid/Cloud CoverKey Event
Jan 2005Rising0.03%3.80%
Feb 2005Rising0.08%2.88%
Mar 2005Rising0.12%5.26%Wet Peak
Apr 2005Receding0.06%4.14%
May 2005Receding0.05%2.78%
Jun 2005Receding0.04%2.79%Mid Dry
Jul 2005Receding0.04%2.80%
Aug 2005Receding0.03%2.78%
Sep 2005Receding0.03%2.79%
Oct 2005Receding0.02%2.80%Dry End
Raw Data Browser

Filter and explore the monthly extent data directly.

DatePhaseHydro YearExtent (%)Invalid (%)Data qualityWet eventLow-extent spell
Rainfall context (supplied CSV)
Agree
Rainfall regime
seasonal
Comparison
Agree
Extent peak / trough
February / November
Rain peak / trough
January / August
Peak lag
1 month(s)

Both rainfall and observed surface-water extent show a reproducible annual cycle. Peak lags rainfall by 1 month(s). Water availability here plausibly tracks local rainfall seasonality; this is consistent with, not proof of, a direct rainfall-driven relationship.